Akwa Ibom State: Tensions Over Ticket Sharing
Governor Umo Eno’s defection from the PDP to the APC in June 2025 has set the stage for a power struggle between two dominant forces: Eno, who controls state resources, and Senate President Godswill Akpabio, who wields federal influence. While Eno has secured assurances for his second-term bid, uncertainty looms for the 26 PDP lawmakers and appointees who defected with him. Many fear displacement during ticket distribution, with some already exploring alternative platforms.
Eno’s slogan, “Akwa Ibom United,” has drawn criticism as a bid for total political control. Analysts warn that unresolved tensions between Eno and Akpabio could either weaken the APC or hand it a decisive victory—depending on how ruthlessly the battle is managed.
Delta State: Old Rivalries Resurface
Governor Sheriff Oborevwori’s defection in April 2025, alongside former Governor Ifeanyi Okowa, has consolidated APC control in Delta State. Oborevwori enjoys broad support as the party’s consensus governorship candidate, but former Deputy Senate President Ovie Omo-Agege’s silence on his ambitions fuels speculation.
Friction is expected between old APC members and new PDP defectors, particularly in Ethiope Federal Constituency, where rival camps loyal to James Ibori’s daughter and Chief Ighoyota Amori clash. Delta North Senatorial District also faces tension, with strained relations between Okowa and incumbent Senator Ned Nwoko threatening party stability.
Bayelsa State: Governor Diri’s Balancing Act
Governor Douye Diri’s move to the APC has boosted the party’s dominance in Bayelsa, but internal divisions persist. Factions loyal to Minister Heineken Lokpobiri and ex-Governor Timipre Sylva challenge Diri’s leadership. His inclusive style will be tested as he navigates loyalty disputes and reconciles old and new members.
Rivers State: Wike-Fubara Feud Escalates
Governor Siminalayi Fubara’s December 2025 defection reignited tensions with FCT Minister Nyesom Wike, who accused him of betrayal. Wike has openly rejected Fubara’s leadership, declaring that the governor cannot secure an automatic ticket for 2027. The rift has divided APC elites, with some backing Wike and others recognizing Fubara’s authority. Analysts see the feud as a threat to APC cohesion in Rivers.
Plateau State: PDP Stronghold Shaken
Governor Caleb Mutfwang’s defection stunned Plateau State, a longtime PDP bastion. While APC leaders cautiously welcomed the move, PDP loyalists view it as betrayal. Without reconciliation, the APC risks factionalization, potentially reviving opposition chances in 2027.
Enugu State: Stability Amidst Realignment
Unlike other states, Enugu’s APC appears stable after Governor Peter Mbah’s defection. With former power brokers sidelined and Dr. Ben Nwoye as caretaker chairman, Mbah’s camp now controls the party. Harmonization is expected, though zoning adjustments may be needed to balance senatorial interests.
Outlook for 2027
The APC’s ability to manage internal strife will determine its success in 2027. While defections have expanded its reach, unresolved rivalries could undermine grassroots cohesion. The coming months will reveal whether the party can convert elite alliances into electoral victory—or if internal battles will fracture its dominance.
